Calendrier du 12 novembre 2020
Macroeconomics Seminar
Du 12/11/2020 de 16:00 à 17:15
Using Zoom
OTTONELLO Pablo (Columbia)
THE MICRO ANATOMY OF MACRO CONSUMPTION ADJUSTMENTS
écrit avec Rafael Guntin and Diego Perez
Texte intégral
Travail et économie publique externe
Du 12/11/2020 de 12:30 à 13:45
USING ZOOM
RATHELOT Roland (Warwick)
Job Search and the Covid Crisis: Evidence from France
écrit avec Lena Hensvik and Thomas Le Barbanchon
This paper measures the job-search responses to the COVID-19 pandemic using real-time data on vacancy postings and ad views on Pôle emploi, France's largest online job board. We document that vacancy postings drops drastically during the lockdown but before rising over the summer. Job seekers seem to respond by searching less intensively, to the extent that the number of clicks per vacancy initially decreases, before slowly recovering over the summer. We then use a simple model to explain the evolution of the number of vacancies and labour-market tightness by evolutions in the utility of working (vs. non-working) and labour productivity.
PEPES (Paris Empirical Political Economics) Working Group
Du 12/11/2020 de 12:30 à 14:00
ON LINE
REYNAL-QUEROL Marta (UPF)
Colonization, Early Settlers and Development: The Case of Latin America
écrit avec Jose Garcia-Montalvo
In this paper, we document the long-run impact of the geographical heterogeneity in skills among the first settlers to Latin America. To this end, we compile administrative data on the early settlers in the Americas between 1492 and 1540 including, among others, name, city of origin, destination, and occupation. From a methodological perspective, a focus on the initial period of colonization in Latin America offers several advantages. First, differences in the geographical distribution of occupations among the first settlers are likely to be accidental. Second, a set-up that analyzes an area with a single colonizer (Spain) allows to hold constant formal institutions and legal origin. Our results show a relevant effect of the skills of first colonizers on long-run levels of development of the areas located around the original settlements. We find evidence of persistence in the form of market orientation and entrepreneurial spirit.
TOM (Théorie, Organisation et Marchés) Lunch Seminar
Du 12/11/2020 de 12:30 à 13:30
salle R1-09, campus Jourdan - 75014 Paris
SALAMANCA Andrés (PSE)
Biased Mediators in Conflict Resolution
What is the role of biased mediators for reaching negotiated settlements in social conflicts?
Previous empirical research in Political Sciences has suggested that mediators are often more
effective if they are unbiased (or impartial). This research contributes to the previous debate
following a game theoretic analysis. We study a model of cheap-talk in which an agent possesses
private information about a binary state of the world. This information is required by an uninformed
principal in order to take an action in the real line. Individuals have quadratic preferences, with a
difference in their bliss point parameterized by a state-dependent bias parameter. Therefore, a
conflict of interests between both parties arises because of a discrepancy in their bliss point.
Provided that mediation is beneficial for at least one party, we show that whenever the variation of
the bias across states is large enough, the agent will refuse to participate in a mediation process that
is biased towards the principal. Otherwise, the mediator’s bias is inconsequential for reaching an
agreement, hence a biased mediator is as effective as an unbiased one.