Calendrier du 15 avril 2021
Travail et économie publique externe
Du 15/04/2021 de 12:30 à 13:30
Using Zoom
JENKINS Stephen (LSE)
Reconciling reports: modelling employment earnings using survey and administrative data
écrit avec Fernando Rios-Avila
We contribute new UK evidence about measurement errors in employment earnings to a field dominated by findings about the USA, developing and applying new econometric models linked survey and administrative data on earnings that generalize those of Kapteyn and Ypma (Journal of Labor Economics, 2007). Our models incorporate mean-reverting measurement error in administrative data in addition to linkage mismatch and mean-reverting survey measurement error and 'reference period' error, while also allowing error distributions to vary across individuals. We find no mean-reversion in our survey or administrative data and thence both earnings sources underestimate true annual earnings inequality. Survey earnings are more reliable than administrative data earnings, but hybrid earnings predictors based on both sources are distinctly more reliable than either of them. Our estimates of models with heterogeneous error distributions point to ways in which data quality may be improved. For example, for survey quality, our results highlight the importance of respondents showing payslips to interviewers. For administrative data, our results suggest that greater error is associated with non-standard jobs, private sector jobs, and employers without good payroll systems.
Behavior seminar
Du 15/04/2021 de 11:00 à 12:00
On line
WILNER Lionel (INSEE CREST)
How do citizens perceive centralization reforms? Evidence from the merger of French regions
Using the 2016 merger of French regions as a natural experiment, this paper adopts a difference-in-difference identification strategy to recover its causal impact on individual subjective well-being. No depressing effect is found despite increased centralization; life satisfaction has even increased in regions that were absorbed from economic and political viewpoints. The empirical evidence also suggests that local economic performance improved in the concerned regions, which includes a faster decline in the unemployment rate. In this setting, economic gains have likely outweighed cultural attachment to administrative regions.