Calendrier du 29 mars 2021
Paris Migration Seminar
Du 29/03/2021 de 17:30 à 18:20
GIUNTI Sara (Uni. Milano Bicocca)
The Refugee Crisis and Right-Wing Populism: Evidence from the Italian Dispersal Policy
écrit avec joint with Francesco Campo and Mariapia Mendola
This paper examines how the 2014-2017 ‘refugee crisis’ in Italy affected voting behavior and the rise of right–wing populism in national Parliamentary elections. We collect unique administrative data and leverage exogenous variation in refugee resettlement across Italian municipalities induced by the Dispersal Policy. We find a positive and significant effect of the share of asylum seekers on support for radical-right anti-immigration parties. The effect is heterogeneous across municipality characteristics, yet robust to dispersal policy features. We provide causal evidence that the anti–immigration backlash is not rooted in adverse economic effects, while it is triggered by radical–right propaganda.
Texte intégral
Roy Seminar (ADRES)
Du 29/03/2021 de 17:00 à 18:00
online
MARGARIA Chiara (Boston University)
Exit Dilemma: The Role of Private Learning on Firm Survival
écrit avec Doruk Cetemen
We study exit decisions of duopolists from a stochastically declining market. Over time, firms privately learn about market conditions from observing the stochastic arrival of customers. Exit decisions are publicly observed; thus the model features both observational and private learning. We assume that a larger firm is more likely to have customers and hence has better information about market conditions than does a smaller rival. We provide sufficient conditions for either the smaller or the larger firm to be the first to exit the market in the unique equilibrium. Because of observational learning, exiting may be a firm's dominant action since continuing operation would bring too much of a good news to the rival, leading it to further postpone its exit. Uniqueness then follows from iterated conditional dominance.
Régulation et Environnement
Du 29/03/2021 de 12:00 à 12:30
BLOCH Francis( Université Paris 1 Panthéon Sorbonne)
LUJALA Paivi(University of Oulu)
Follow the leader: Using videos to make information on resource revenue management more relevant
How can citizens be motivated to demand accountability in the management of public revenues? We use a video survey experiment to provide information, and employ role models to provide encouragement and motivation to act. The experiment focused on petroleum revenue management in Ghana and included over 2300 respondents. Providing information significantly increased satisfaction with current revenue management, though treated participants remained dissatisfied on average. We also found increased intention to demand more accountability through greater debate. The role models had an additional effect: they increased the sense that an individual can influence how petroleum revenues are used; the intention to contact media and to vote differently to ensure better accountability. These changes, however, did not persist, and a follow-up with 925 respondents 2.5 years later later showed few differences between the control and the treated groups. The experiment demonstrates that providing relevant information affects attitudes and planned behavior in the short term, and that role models give valuable encouragement for behavioral change.