Calendrier du 30 septembre 2020
Paris Migration Seminar
Du 30/09/2020 de 17:30 à 18:30
GUBERT Flore(DIAL,PSE)
DELASSALE Esther(UCLouvain)
Is migration drought-induced in Mali? An empirical analysis using panel data on Malian localities over the 1987-2009 period
écrit avec with Dimitri Defrance
This paper combines population census data and climate data to estimate the volume of migrations induced by the drought events that have hit Mali since the late 1980s. The results show that the droughts that have unevenly affected the regions of Mali have had the effect of increasing migration from rural to urban areas. This is true for both men and women, regardless of the age group considered. Between 1998 and 2009, droughts translate into an additional net outflow of 7,134 male and 6,281 female rural migrants per year. The effect of drought episodes, however, differs according to localities and rural households' capacity to adapt to climatic constraints: it fades in localities characterized by more diversified crops and in those located in the Sudano-Sahelian and Sudano-Guinean zones that receive more rainfall on average. Climate shocks also had an impact on international mobility: over the 2004-2009 period, around 2,000 additional departures per year can be attributed to the dry episodes that hit Mali during the 2000s. We forecast that, under different climate scenarios and population growth projection, internal and international mobility induced by droughts events will substantially grow in the next decades
Development Economics Seminar
Du 30/09/2020 de 16:30 à 18:00
Salle R1.09, Campus Jourdan 48 Bd Jourdan 75014 Paris
UBFAL Diego (Africa Gender Innovation Lab,World Bank)
The Effects of Working while in School: Evidence from Uruguayan Lotteries
Shall we encourage students to work while in school? We provide evidence by leveraging a one-year work-study program that randomizes job offers among students in Uruguay. Using social security data matched to over 120,000 applicants, we estimate an increase of 9% in earnings and of 2 percentage points in enrollment over the four post-program years for treated youth. Survey data indicate that enrolled participants reduce study time, but this does not translate into lower grades. Students mainly substitute leisure and household chores with work. A decomposition exercise suggests that work experience is the main mechanism behind the increase in earnings.
Economic History Seminar
Du 30/09/2020 de 12:30 à 14:00
Salle R2.21,Campus Jourdan - 48 Bd Jourdan 75014 Paris
PASQUINI Béline (UP1)
Dealing with extreme data scarcity: The challenge of measuring economic growth in ancient times. The case of Gaul between the 1st c. BC and the 7th c. AD.
Between the 1st century BC and the 7th century AD, Gaul went through tremendous social and economic transformations. Traditionally, most historians have followed Edward Gibbon in considering that the 2nd century AD was probably the most prosperous period of this long time span. But can we actually quantify this prosperity? Is it possible - given the very few written data we have - to reconstruct variations of economic growth? I suggest that some archaeological data, like trade flows, urbanisation, monatisation, or transport infrastructures can act as good proxies of growth. In this presentation, I will explain why and how we should use them to reconstruct ancient growth.