Calendrier du 26 mars 2019
PSI-PSE (Petit Séminaire Informel de la Paris School of Economics) Seminar
Du 26/03/2019 de 17:00 à 18:00
MARTíNEZ-TOLEDANO Clara (Imperial College London)
Behavioral Responses to Wealth Tax Incentives. Evidence from Spain
Applied Economics Lunch Seminar
Du 26/03/2019 de 12:30 à 13:30
Salle R2-01, Campus Jourdan, 48 boulevard Jourdan, 75014 Paris
TURATI Riccardo (Universitat Autonoma de Barcelona)
SKILL OF THE IMMIGRANTS AND VOTE OF THE NATIVES: IMMIGRATION AND NATIONALISM IN EUROPEAN ELECTIONS 2007-2016
écrit avec Simone Moriconi, Giovanni Peri
In this paper we document the impact of immigration at the regional level on Europeans’ political
preferences as expressed by voting behavior in parliamentary or presidential elections between
2007 and 2016. We combine individual data on party voting with a classification of each party's
political agenda on a scale of their "nationalistic" attitudes over 28 elections across 126 parties in
12 countries. To reduce immigrant selection and omitted variable bias, we use immigrant
settlements in 2005 and the skill composition of recent immigrant flows as instruments. OLS and
IV estimates show that larger inflows of highly educated immigrants were associated with a
change in the vote of citizens away from nationalism. However the inflow of less educated
immigrants was positively associated with a vote shift towards nationalist positions. These effects
were stronger for non-tertiary educated voters and in response to non-European immigrants. We
also show that they are consistent with the impact of immigration on individual political
preferences, which we estimate using longitudinal data, and on opinions about immigrants.
Conversely, immigration did not affect electoral turnout. Simulations based on the estimated
coefficients show that immigration policies balancing the number of high-skilled and low-skilled
immigrants from outside the EU would be associated with a shift in votes away from nationalist
parties in almost all European regions.